Expectancy Calculator
Estimate the average result per trade in R-multiples. Positive expectancy means the sample has a mathematical edge before costs and slippage.
Trading Tools Lab
Use this lab to estimate expectancy, drawdown recovery, risk pressure, and position size. The goal is not prediction. The goal is to make risk visible before a student places a trade.
Decision system
These tools make the invisible parts of trading concrete: edge, recovery, survival buffer, and correct size.
Live calculators
All results are educational estimates. They are designed for study, review, and risk planning, not for trade signals or profit guarantees.
Estimate the average result per trade in R-multiples. Positive expectancy means the sample has a mathematical edge before costs and slippage.
See the return required to recover from a drawdown. A 50% loss requires a 100% gain to break even, which is why capital protection comes first.
Combine expectancy and risk per trade to estimate whether the strategy has a healthy survival buffer or is likely to fail under normal losing streaks.
Convert account risk into a practical size estimate. Use the unit value that matches the asset: dollars per point, pip value, contract value, or coin value.
Start with position size, check drawdown tolerance, then compare the planned setup with expectancy. If the numbers are weak, the student practices instead of forcing a trade.
Professionals treat these outputs as risk controls. They validate assumptions with a large sample, include transaction costs, and reduce size when drawdown pressure rises.
Oversizing, revenge trading, weak stop placement, unrealistic recovery resources, and confusing a profitable single trade with a repeatable system.