Average result per trade.
Win rate alone is useless without average win and average loss.
Risk Lab
Turn trading risk into numbers before emotions take over.
Use this lab to estimate expectancy, recovery pressure, survival buffer, and position size. The goal is not prediction. The goal is to make risk visible.
NAKAMOTO Trading Academy teaches market structure, risk, vocabulary, and process. It does not provide trade signals, investment advice, profit guarantees, or personal financial recommendations.
All outputs are educational estimates. They are for study and review, not trade recommendations or profit forecasts.
Four Numbers
Every learner should know these before risking capital.
Losses need larger gains to recover.
A 20% drawdown needs a 25% gain to return to breakeven.
Sizing controls survival.
A decent idea can still fail if risk per trade is too high.
Translate plan into exposure.
Size comes after stop distance and risk limit, not before.
Interactive Lab
Run the numbers before the market pressure arrives.
These tools are educational estimates. They help a learner see assumptions, recovery pressure, and sizing discipline before a real decision.
Expectancy checker
Estimate average result per trade in R terms before costs, slippage, and mistakes.
Drawdown recovery
Losses need larger percentage gains to recover because the base is smaller.
Position size estimate
Translate account balance, risk limit, and unit risk into an educational size estimate.
Pre-risk checklist
Do not call an idea complete until the key risk questions are answered.
Worked Examples
Use these examples as a study checklist.
45% wins, +1.8R wins, -1R losses.
Expected result: (0.45 x 1.8) - (0.55 x 1.0) = +0.26R before costs and slippage.
12% loss needs about 13.6% recovery.
Recovery return = drawdown divided by remaining capital. The deeper the hole, the harder the climb.
$10,000 account, 1% risk, $50 stop.
Risk budget is $100. If each unit risks $50, maximum educational size is 2 units before costs.
Pause when behavior breaks.
If a learner moves stops, revenge trades, or ignores invalidation, the plan has already failed.
Read Next
Connect risk back to the curriculum.
Structure
Know what invalidates the idea.
A structure read without an invalidation point is just commentary.
Read lessonTermsReview expectancy and drawdown.
Use plain-English definitions before applying the terms.
Open glossaryBitcoin ToolsUse safety tools too.
Trading risk and wallet risk are different, but both require process.
Open tools